Excess mortality in istanbul during extreme heat waves between 2013 and 2017

Can, Günay and Şahin, Ümit and Sayılı, Uğurcan and Dubé, Marjolaine and Kara, Beril and Acar, Hazal Cansu and İnan, Barış and Sayman, Özden Aksu and Lebel, Germain and Bustinza, Ray and Küçükali, Hüseyin and Güven, Umur and Gosselin, Pierre (2019) Excess mortality in istanbul during extreme heat waves between 2013 and 2017. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 16 (22). ISSN 1661-7827 (Print) 1660-4601 (Online)

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Heat waves are one of the most common direct impacts of anthropogenic climate change and excess mortality their most apparent impact. While Turkey has experienced an increase in heat wave episodes between 1971 and 2016, no epidemiological studies have examined their potential impacts on public health so far. In this study excess mortality in Istanbul attributable to extreme heat wave episodes between 2013 and 2017 is presented. Total excess deaths were calculated using mortality rates across different categories, including age, sex, and cause of death. The analysis shows that three extreme heat waves in the summer months of 2015, 2016, and 2017, which covered 14 days in total, significantly increased the mortality rate and caused 419 excess deaths in 23 days of exposure. As climate simulations show that Turkey is one of the most vulnerable countries in the Europe region to the increased intensity of heat waves until the end of the 21st century, further studies about increased mortality and morbidity risks due to heat waves in Istanbul and other cities, as well as intervention studies, are necessary.
Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: Cardiovascular; Heat wave; High temperature; Istanbul; Mortality
Divisions: Istanbul Policy Center
Depositing User: Ümit Şahin
Date Deposited: 10 Aug 2022 16:03
Last Modified: 10 Aug 2022 16:03
URI: https://research.sabanciuniv.edu/id/eprint/43108

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